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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465kaxel78RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (62–70, n=132)no settled market66% (480–244, n=724)
Consensus PnL—-$493K-$1-$148K
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #56PM monthly #45 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (4 of 8 open)93% (168 of 181 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Economy −2 pts, n=13—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%77% of 91 at avg 78¢, ROI 0%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 0% of 19)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)1% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)3% (won 33% of 3)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)75% (won 100% of 68)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465kaxel78RN1
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Altmaier
—Daniel Altmaier $442—Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.1K