Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (61–67, n=128)no settled market51% (200–192, n=392)
Consensus PnL—-$304K$2-$5.4K
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #152PM monthly #322
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (2 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)37% (15 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +56 pts n=41, ROI +55%
  • Soccer +38 pts n=26, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%100% of 82 at avg 52¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)100% (won 50% of 2)10% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)0%54% (won 100% of 44)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)0%16% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)0%21% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1Venusian
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $82K—G2 $9
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Pedro Martinez
—Jurij Rodionov $2.5K—Jurij Rodionov $4.0K