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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (2612–3500, n=6112)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$92K$14.8M—
Tracked as—PM monthly #509PM monthly #26 + pinned—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position45% (13 of 29 open)62% (184 of 297 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Weather +2 pts n=144, ROI +2%
  • NBA +8 pts n=16, ROI +8%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Mentions ±0 pts, n=938——
Settled positions, side won—37% of 3270 at avg 37¢, ROI −3%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—54% (won 3% of 1758)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 43% of 464)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 62% of 143)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up—28% (won 97% of 905)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.