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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)40% (4–6, n=10)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$319$11.0M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #777PM monthly #1PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)76% (84 of 110 open)52% (32 of 62 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%0%10% (won 79% of 58)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%0%36% (won 98% of 200)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)0%35% (won 99% of 194)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%100% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.