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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225beachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market36% (498–900, n=1398)no settled market65% (902–484, n=1386)
Consensus PnL—$95K—$4.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #29—PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (118 of 184 open)no open consensus position71% (107 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=687—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—59% of 3904 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 3% of 1478)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 43% of 121)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 70% of 163)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—55% (won 98% of 2142)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.