Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankndb1pollo07
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (587–850, n=1437)63% (1014–591, n=1605)28% (432–1122, n=1554)
Consensus PnL—$7.6M$4.8M$42K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #98PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)73% (62 of 85 open)95% (19 of 20 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147Elections −1 pts, n=230
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%47% of 696 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)47% (won 3% of 329)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)5% (won 49% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)5% (won 52% of 33)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)43% (won 95% of 297)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankndb1pollo07
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $337K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $280KYes $11K—