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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00e46m3joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)77% (10921–3248, n=14169)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$874K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (51 of 92 open)no open consensus position75% (27 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +44 pts n=105, ROI +74%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1115, ROI +27%
  • NBA +14 pts n=145, ROI +19%
Weakest topic—Politics −1 pts, n=49—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%38% (won 20% of 1850)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢0%7% (won 54% of 350)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)9% (won 73% of 444)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up0%46% (won 98% of 2258)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00e46m3joseph00677ndb1
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.5K—Yes $188
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
same side · consensus No
—No $594—No $85K