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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00joseph00677RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)48% (1181–1266, n=2447)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$14.8M$27K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #484
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position48% (12 of 25 open)64% (38 of 59 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 760 at avg 72¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)17% (won 100% of 131)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)18% (won 100% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)58% (won 100% of 439)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00joseph00677RN1Venusian
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
——Sumit Nagal $670Kilian Feldbausch $1.7K