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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00joseph00677northdrawerRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market80% (4–1, n=5)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL——-$8-$53K
Tracked as—PM monthly #7PM monthly #137PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (26 of 35 open)51% (42 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Weather −3 pts, n=1488—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%36% of 6890 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)61% (won 0% of 4176)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 47% of 137)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)3% (won 60% of 240)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)34% (won 96% of 2337)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.