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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0F62sainttroplayBreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)54% (2398–2068, n=4466)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$207K$4.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #430was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 99 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −6 pts, n=695———
Settled positions, side won52% of 4061 at avg 56¢, ROI −1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 19% of 631)0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 39% of 1420)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 51% of 822)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 87% of 1188)0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.