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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (466–532, n=998)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$33K$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #736PM monthly #1PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (270 of 361 open)no open consensus position61% (95 of 156 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicWeather −1 pts, n=844——
Settled positions, side won60% of 1502 at avg 60¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 1% of 561)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 43)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 64% of 44)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 99% of 854)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.