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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023ndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)44% (365–469, n=834)66% (870–454, n=1324)no settled market
Consensus PnL$90K$4.2M—
Tracked asPM monthly #515PM monthly #12—
Sides with the consensus64% (100 of 157 open)69% (25 of 36 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=772NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1348 at avg 63¢, ROI +5%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 1% of 475)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 45% of 29)20% (won 40% of 253)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 79% of 42)24% (won 57% of 310)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 802)43% (won 93% of 544)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023ndb1sainttroplay
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $111—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $29No $202—