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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023ndb1sainttroplayUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (403–484, n=887)65% (882–468, n=1350)no settled market50% (19555–19619, n=39174)
Consensus PnL$90K$4.2M—$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #458PM monthly #143—PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus69% (77 of 111 open)78% (25 of 32 open)no open consensus position64% (32 of 50 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicEntertainment −4 pts, n=76NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won62% of 1769 at avg 61¢, ROI +8%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 650)13% (won 15% of 168)—7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 46% of 41)20% (won 39% of 256)—21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 79% of 58)24% (won 58% of 314)—22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1020)43% (won 93% of 550)—51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.