Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465	BreakTheBank	Flaznorp	qinlaoban
Record (consensus markets)	47% (62–70, n=132)	56% (20–16, n=36)	75% (741–246, n=987)	56% (5–4, n=9)
Consensus PnL	-$493K	$822K	$70K	-$294
Tracked as	PM monthly #11	PM monthly #1	PM monthly #14	PM monthly #686
Sides with the consensus	29% (2 of 7 open)	33% (2 of 6 open)	65% (79 of 121 open)	no open consensus position
Strongest topics	NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39% Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%	NBA +52 pts n=11, ROI +49%	none with 10+ settled	none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic	—	—	Soccer −8 pts, n=40	—
Settled positions, side won	97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%	100% of 20 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%	44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%	100% of 5 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%
Entries under 30¢	1% (won 0% of 1)	0%	34% (won 10% of 30)	0%
Entries 30–50¢	25% (won 94% of 17)	60% (won 100% of 12)	19% (won 29% of 17)	100% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢	49% (won 100% of 33)	35% (won 100% of 7)	13% (won 55% of 11)	0%
Entries 70¢ and up	24% (won 100% of 16)	5% (won 100% of 1)	34% (won 83% of 30)	0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465	BreakTheBank	Flaznorp	qinlaoban
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane	Josh Hokit $193K	Ciryl Gane $320K	—	—
Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings	Vikings $93	—	Vikings $6	—