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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankquietparcelsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)46% (560–666, n=1226)44% (6313–8127, n=14440)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M$11.2M$45K—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2PM monthly #251—
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)55% (11 of 20 open)82% (149 of 181 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Mentions −4 pts, n=594—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%36% of 5067 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 81% of 57)60% (won 1% of 3032)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)36% (won 98% of 201)2% (won 35% of 106)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 99% of 196)4% (won 60% of 183)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)19% (won 100% of 109)34% (won 96% of 1746)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.