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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Erick2307Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)46% (142–170, n=312)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$42K$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #133PM monthly #925PM monthly #22PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)100% (1 of 1 open)64% (176 of 275 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%41% of 277 at avg 39¢, ROI +1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)52% (won 3% of 145)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)5% (won 33% of 15)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)9% (won 71% of 24)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)34% (won 94% of 93)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Erick2307Flaznorpjoseph00677
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $6.4KSolana Sierra $286—
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $1.1K—Hawks $3.6K—
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3K—Yes $1.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $1.2K—76ers $46—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $620—Eastern Michigan $333—
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436—Bucks $249—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $365—Under $227—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $194—Under $105—
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $43—Hornets $65—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $49K—Thunder $223—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $41K—Pistons $1.4K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4K—Arthur Fils $5.6K—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.7K—Raptors $383—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248—Under $40—