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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1suitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)75% (735–246, n=981)66% (479–242, n=721)76% (183–59, n=242)
Consensus PnL-$304K$68K-$140K$2.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #488
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)70% (60 of 86 open)100% (2 of 2 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—Soccer −22 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%65% of 172 at avg 67¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 12)15% (won 8% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)13% (won 100% of 26)12% (won 38% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)16% (won 48% of 27)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)51% (won 100% of 105)57% (won 90% of 98)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1suitcase6628
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $166KMOUZ $42—G2 $4
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $20K—Jurij Rodionov $5.3K—
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
same side · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $886Marianna Argyrokastriti $1.3K—