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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MadridTimendb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)49% (947–988, n=1935)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$17K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #618PM monthly #103PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)63% (47 of 75 open)68% (106 of 155 open)66% (21 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MadridTimendb1RN1
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $17K—Anastasia Zakharova $13K
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $976—Sumit Nagal $2.3K
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $4—Otto Virtanen $1.8K
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $84—Matej Dodig $98