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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 43% (33–44, n=77) | 75% (741–246, n=987) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | $8.4K | $70K | $2 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #553 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #151 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (3 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (84 of 127 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 67% of 33 at avg 48¢, ROI +18% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 0% of 2) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 100% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 39% (won 69% of 13) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 52% (won 71% of 17) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira same side · consensus Tiago Pereira | Kilian Feldbausch $155K | — | Kilian Feldbausch $3.6K | — |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K | — | Dartmouth Big Green $415 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | — | Vikings $6 | — |