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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 43% (33–44, n=77) | 45% (198–245, n=443) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | $8.4K | $10K | $2 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #550 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #152 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (11 of 14 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 54% of 63 at avg 44¢, ROI +10% | 100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 16% (won 20% of 10) | 6% (won 100% of 8) | 100% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 46% (won 52% of 29) | 38% (won 100% of 51) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 35% (won 68% of 22) | 50% (won 100% of 68) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 3% (won 100% of 2) | 7% (won 100% of 9) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Magic $55K | — | Jazz $5.9K | — |