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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | big8betz | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 75% (743–249, n=992) |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | -$8.9K | $822K | $70K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #224 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 70% (95 of 135 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 50% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −10% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 0% | 31% (won 9% of 66) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 50% (won 0% of 2) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 27% (won 45% of 56) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 13% (won 68% of 28) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 97% of 61) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | big8betz | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $191K | — | Ciryl Gane $322K | — |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K | — | — | Dartmouth Big Green $415 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | — | Vikings $6 |