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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465biying88888keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)49% (86–91, n=177)45% (196–244, n=440)
Consensus PnL-$493K-$367$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #997PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)40% (2 of 5 open)81% (13 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
  • NBA +48 pts n=44, ROI +47%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 59 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)0%5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)31% (won 100% of 18)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)69% (won 100% of 41)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)0%7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465biying88888keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $58K—Jazz $5.9K
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
Daniel Altmaier $428—Buvaysar Gadamauri $33K
Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A
same side · consensus CyberHero
—CyberHero $682CyberHero $318