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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | blue.birds | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 36% (1929–3463, n=5392) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $10K | $3.3M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #458 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (182 of 265 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Crypto −6 pts, n=1141 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 16% of 1141 at avg 22¢, ROI −4% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 74% (won 1% of 843) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 8% (won 13% of 87) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 8% (won 53% of 93) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 10% (won 97% of 118) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | blue.birds | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | — | Bucks $251 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.7K | — | Raptors $383 | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | Under $40 | — |