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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | caishenbaoyoufadacai888 | HomeRunHazard | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (102–81, n=183) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (304–264, n=568) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$289K | $1.6K | $309K | $8 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #515 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #146 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 77% (53 of 69 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 78 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +24% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 100% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 20) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 35) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 100% of 21) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | caishenbaoyoufadacai888 | HomeRunHazard | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $95 | — | Vikings $6.2K | — |