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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | classified | denizz | petanimal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | $3.8K | $0 | $54 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #291 | PM monthly #143 | was PM monthly #283 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 42% (5 of 12 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 83% of 6 at avg 71¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 17% (won 0% of 1) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 0% | 12% (won 57% of 30) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 67% (won 100% of 4) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | classified | denizz | petanimal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $125 | — | Yes $2.1K |