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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | donthackme | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (59–65, n=124) | 80% (8–2, n=10) | no settled market | 66% (475–241, n=716) |
| Consensus PnL | -$301K | -$45 | — | -$143K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #350 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 83% (24 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Economy −1 pts, n=13 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 84% of 134 at avg 85¢, ROI −11% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 14% (won 0% of 19) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 1% (won 50% of 2) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 84% (won 99% of 112) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | donthackme | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt opposite sides · consensus Alex Bolt | Alafia Ayeni $6 | — | — | Alex Bolt $40 |