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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465esticamosfantasy7788RN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (62–68, n=130)83% (5–1, n=6)43% (3–4, n=7)66% (480–243, n=723)
Consensus PnL-$290K$2.6K$233K-$141K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #798PM monthly #86PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%67% of 6 at avg 63¢, ROI +9%100% of 3 at avg 56¢, ROI +49%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 0% of 1)0%6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)0%33% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 67% of 3)67% (won 100% of 2)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)33% (won 100% of 2)0%51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465esticamosfantasy7788RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $59K——Lorenzo Sonego $4.1K