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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788Flaznorpsuitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–67, n=126)43% (3–4, n=7)75% (732–246, n=978)75% (180–59, n=239)
Consensus PnL-$296K$123K$69K$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #158PM monthly #14PM monthly #490
Sides with the consensus70% (7 of 10 open)50% (1 of 2 open)66% (59 of 89 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40Soccer −22 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 56¢, ROI +49%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%65% of 172 at avg 67¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)0%34% (won 10% of 30)15% (won 8% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)33% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 29% of 17)12% (won 38% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)67% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 55% of 11)16% (won 48% of 27)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)0%34% (won 83% of 30)57% (won 90% of 98)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788Flaznorpsuitcase6628
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $187KG2 $26KG2 $2—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
same side · consensus Alex Bolt
Alex Bolt $44K—Alex Bolt $5.8KAlex Bolt $731
Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta
same side · consensus Massimo Giunta
Massimo Giunta $408—Massimo Giunta $1.5KMassimo Giunta $400
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
same side · consensus G2
G2 $31G2 $107K——