← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | joseph00677 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | no settled market | 61% (46–30, n=76) |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | $260K | — | $14K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #82 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #710 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 25 at avg 76¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 12% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 16% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 72% (won 100% of 18) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | joseph00677 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $5.4K | Kings $3.1K | — | Kings $23 |