Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465haveagooddayHomeRunHazardjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)88% (15–2, n=17)55% (201–167, n=368)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$304K-$54$227K—
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #136PM monthly #8PM monthly #6
Sides with the consensus25% (2 of 8 open)92% (302 of 328 open)61% (30 of 49 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Mentions ±0 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%93% of 151 at avg 93¢, ROI +1%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 11% of 9)1% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)0%32% (won 100% of 31)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)3% (won 50% of 4)57% (won 100% of 55)69% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)91% (won 100% of 138)10% (won 100% of 10)15% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465haveagooddayHomeRunHazardjoseph00677
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $33K—Jazz $914—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93—Vikings $1.9K—