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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (59–67, n=126) | no settled market | 47% (33–37, n=70) | 66% (479–242, n=721) |
| Consensus PnL | -$296K | — | -$3.2K | -$146K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #532 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (14 of 18 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 31 at avg 53¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 55% (won 100% of 17) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 19% (won 100% of 6) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 19% (won 100% of 6) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli | Johannus Monday $384 | — | — | Johannus Monday $405 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | — | Vikings $168 | — |