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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | pagliacci4 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 96% (1676–76, n=1752) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $11K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #986 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (10 of 20 open) | 96% (22 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1675 at avg 92¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 0% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 4% (won 92% of 64) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 96% (won 98% of 1607) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | pagliacci4 |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $17 | No $9.1K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $42 | No $635 |