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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188surfandturfbeachboy4joseph00677pleaseplease1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
| 0x3814198398E2d02c0e8fBa652345995cF84417bC-1782140092998 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (283–225, n=508) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=284 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 493 at avg 56¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 23% of 40) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 37% of 100) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 56% (won 58% of 275) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 90% of 78) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3814198398E2d02c0e8fBa652345995cF84417bC-1782140092998 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $224 | — | No $407K |