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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)86% (1934–303, n=2237)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$111K$4.4M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position90% (144 of 160 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won86% of 1964 at avg 83¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 12% of 124)0%10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 42% of 106)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 67% of 153)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up80% (won 97% of 1581)0%19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.