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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beRN1pleaseplease123joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)76% (367–118, n=485)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)49% (345–353, n=698)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$2.9K$13.4M$3.2M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #514PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——MLB −1 pts, n=694—
Settled positions, side won94% of 95 at avg 52¢, ROI +43%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 71% of 7)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 94% of 18)22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢72% (won 96% of 68)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beRN1pleaseplease123joseph00677
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $124Rinky Hijikata $41K——