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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be | RN1 | pleaseplease123 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (367–118, n=485) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 52% (273–252, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.9K | $13.4M | $3.2M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #514 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 95 at avg 52¢, ROI +43% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 71% of 7) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 94% of 18) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 72% (won 96% of 68) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 2) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be | RN1 | pleaseplease123 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Rinky Hijikata $124 | Rinky Hijikata $41K | — | — |