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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0besurfandturfpleaseplease123RN1
Record (consensus markets)76% (367–118, n=485)52% (273–252, n=525)49% (345–353, n=698)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)
Consensus PnL$2.9K$4.1M$3.2M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #514was PM monthly #326was PM monthly #92PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −11 pts, n=58MLB −1 pts, n=694—
Settled positions, side won94% of 95 at avg 52¢, ROI +43%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 71% of 7)20% (won 12% of 109)0% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 94% of 18)21% (won 46% of 114)38% (won 43% of 266)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢72% (won 96% of 68)33% (won 60% of 176)61% (won 54% of 426)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)26% (won 82% of 137)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0besurfandturfpleaseplease123RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $124——Rinky Hijikata $41K