Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd00gringo00BreakTheBankpleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)71% (310–124, n=434)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)51% (196–192, n=388)
Consensus PnL-$63K$3.5M$10.6M$5.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #611was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)no open consensus position91% (148 of 163 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=104———
Settled positions, side won64% of 466 at avg 63¢, ROI −3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢14% (won 20% of 66)0%10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 32% of 104)0%36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 66% of 93)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 93% of 203)0%19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd00gringo00BreakTheBankpleaseplease123
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0K—Yes $15K—