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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-172091857796100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (267–260, n=527)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$24K$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #695was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won84% of 321 at avg 56¢, ROI +18%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 38% of 13)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 75% of 71)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 87% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 96% of 50)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-172091857796100gringo00BreakTheBank
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $5.0K—Chiefs $465K