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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x42145460F32A84Dd27DF2dbd7afbeE779213dB99-1759056243872BreakTheBankRN1surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)78% (329–92, n=421)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$345K$10.6M$13.4M$9.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)89% (127 of 142 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won82% of 405 at avg 52¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 53% of 45)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 76% of 142)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 90% of 162)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 95% of 56)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.