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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | Tys0n8686 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (8–5, n=13) | 53% (295–258, n=553) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | 50% (4–4, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $624K | $304K | $208K | $2.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (48 of 63 open) | no open consensus position | 20% (1 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | Tys0n8686 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $66 | — | Mavericks $702 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $1.2K | — | Pistons $354 |