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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343beachboy4joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)47% (591–676, n=1267)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)65% (886–468, n=1354)
Consensus PnL$85K—$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #33—PM monthly #1PM monthly #143
Sides with the consensus72% (244 of 340 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicF1 −7 pts, n=25——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 753)—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 39% of 61)—6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 73% of 55)—65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1178)—18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.