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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-17776485342411rerrrBreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)49% (1170–1194, n=2364)45% (542–652, n=1194)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$53K$11.1M$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #934PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (133 of 168 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%77% of 1301 at avg 48¢, ROI +27%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)13% (won 63% of 165)10% (won 79% of 58)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 74% of 536)36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 83% of 497)35% (won 99% of 194)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)8% (won 87% of 103)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.