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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankjoseph00677klli27
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (10–9, n=19)39% (374–579, n=953)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$5.6M$31K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #125
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (11 of 20 open)no open consensus position56% (9 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Economy −8 pts, n=24
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%38% of 344 at avg 39¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)58% (won 1% of 199)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 40% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)3% (won 58% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)36% (won 97% of 123)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.