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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankzerone777
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (555–663, n=1218)42% (399–555, n=954)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$163K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (21 of 32 open)71% (20 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Mentions −2 pts, n=47
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)56% (won 1% of 189)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)5% (won 61% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)36% (won 97% of 120)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.