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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpndb1ropetard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6492–5997, n=12489)63% (987–572, n=1559)65% (112–59, n=171)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$3.2M$79K
Tracked as—PM monthly #24PM monthly #103PM monthly #367
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (169 of 235 open)75% (101 of 135 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +8 pts n=131, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%57% of 133 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 44% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 71% of 66)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)3% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.