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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241LightParadoxndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (207–206, n=413)no settled market63% (19–11, n=30)
Consensus PnL—-$1.3K$2$22K
Tracked as—PM monthly #265PM monthly #153PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (12 of 18 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +56 pts n=36, ROI +57%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=21, ROI +47%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 73 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 4)100% (won 50% of 2)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 100% of 41)0%35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—19% (won 100% of 14)0%55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 14)0%5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.