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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241akrollFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market37% (314–535, n=849)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)65% (876–462, n=1338)
Consensus PnL—$121K$3.3M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #115PM monthly #22PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)67% (122 of 182 open)79% (19 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Elections −3 pts, n=72Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won—44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—52% (won 1% of 205)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 43% of 7)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 53% of 15)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up—42% (won 96% of 167)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.