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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | NeverLoseBet | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 48% (87–95, n=182) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $5.6M | $4.1M | -$362K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | NFL −34 pts, n=15 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 48% of 177 at avg 54¢, ROI −7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 7% (won 23% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 39% (won 35% of 69) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 28% (won 54% of 50) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 25% (won 69% of 45) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | NeverLoseBet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $819K | Yes $2.0K |