Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-176979622198900gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (4855–4572, n=9427)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)
Consensus PnL-$49K$3.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (13 of 25 open)no open consensus position90% (147 of 164 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +62 pts n=431, ROI +64%
  • MLB +49 pts n=912, ROI +49%
  • NBA +48 pts n=296, ROI +46%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3958 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 99% of 177)0%10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 1483)0%36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 1591)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 100% of 707)0%19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-176979622198900gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $1.3K——Aliaksandra Sasnovich $76K